An honorable member of the Coffee Shop Has Just Posted the Following:
NOT BEFORE 9 AUG 2015
Why? A matter of common sense.
None in her right mind will think the ground is sweet for the PAP currently or anytime soon. The PGP details will only be out in Aug 2014. Time will be needed to explain those details, ground responses collected and analysed. Wheres the certainty the senior-voter ground will be sweetened by this cheap vote-buying shot? How certain when Medishield Life premiums will go up, possibly neutralizing the positives wrought, nay, hoped for with the PGP? How about skeptics who prefer to view the PGP as an outcome from more opposition elected, hence more needed?
Is PAP that foolhardy to think that they can afford to risk the elusive sense of gratefulness to a PAP past to tilt the next GE just so to celebrate the 50th National Day? Only for history to write of fools relying on the vicissitudes of an electorate never so restless, so vocal to be grateful for a past long gone but a future in peril?
Pertinent, too, is the pressure LHL is already under. He has led PAP to a reduced vote count by 8.7% (2006) and a further 6.5% (2011). Extrapolating that trend, the PAP will likely lose another 4.8% to 7.6% (trending % or average %). Maybe more.
Therefore, LHL needs all the time available to dish out more pork barrels to buy more votes or, at least, stem the bleeding. So, GE in time for 9 Aug 2015 is unlikely.
A MATTER OF HEADCOUNTS
In practical terms, headcounts may shape up to be the bigger challenge PAP faces preparing for the next GE. Consider the figures;
http://2econdsight.wordpress.com/201...eaves-next-ge/
Click here to view the whole thread at www.sammyboy.com.
05-05-2014, 11:10 PM
A Second Reading of Tea Leaves Next GE
