Chitchat What will be Singapore's biggest security threat in next 5 years

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An honorable member of the Coffee Shop Has Just Posted the Following:

External Threats:

(i) Gradual Islamization of Malaysia. The Malaysian constitution explicitly upholds Malaysia as a secular state even as it recognizes Islam as the religion of the Federation. In recent years, there has been an aggressive push to blur that line.

(ii) Continued problem of radical terror cells operating in Indonesia and increasingly the immediate region. No elaboration required.

(iii) China's aggression and increased militancy. As China's 35-year economic miracle wanes, the Chinese govt needs to keep its people united. The obvious method is to stoke the fires of nationalism. The militancy and aggression is part of this strategy. Faced with severe inequality which will serve as a tinderbox as the economy slows, China may see the need to take even more aggressive measures in the coming months and years so as to maintain the unity of the Han Chinese core and exert powerful control over Hong Kong to show other fringe regions that no aspiration toward independence or cessation whatsoever will be tolerated.

Internal Threats:

(i) A weak and indecisive PAP govt lacking in leadership. Weak leadership, lack of talented people wanting to join the party, will lead to a succession crisis and possible split within the party. The PAP has shown itself to be clueless and utterly unprepared to take Singapore forward. Fearful of losing its grip, the PAP may start behaving erratically and enact draconian measures to clamp down on fundamental freedoms and civil liberties even more harshly than LKY himself did. A paranoid party may even start making fundamental mistakes with regards to managing the economy, which could lead to severe hardships for Singaporeans.

(ii) Failure of security and defence forces. Again, this would be a consequence of a weak government. Our generals and commanders lack war experience and our intelligence officers may lack the proper training needed to identify threats. It is only a matter of time before another major lapse occurs. Worse, a foreign power may smell blood and be tempted to make a move. Our vulnerability in the defence and security front cannot be underestimated.

What will be Singapore's biggest threat in next 5 years? Internal or external?


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